2020 Bull Run - Top 100 Analysis

I missed the bull run last year, and was curious what sort of realistic expectations for a potential return on investment in case of a similar bull run over the same timeframe. Timeframe is December 1st 2020 to May 1st 2021, and I took a snapshot of the price of the Top 100 coins on December 1st, and compared to each of their prices on May 1st. I also removed all stable coins, as well as a couple of wrapped/pegged BTC coins since those prices are all based primarily off of BTC. This left a total of 90 coins, and I then calculated the returns of investing $100 in each of those 90 coins on Dec 1st, for a total of $9k invested. Results and notes below. For a $9k investment the total value on May 1st was $73,981, which equates to a profit of $64,981 for a 722% gain overall. 89/90 cryptos made a profit - the one outlier (AMPL lost 27.67%) 16 coins made more than 1000% returns, with DOGE unsurprisingly leading the pack at 11684% with LUNA (4152%) + SOL (2401%) rounding out the Top 3. 6 coins had gains of less than 100%, leaving 84 that went at least 2x 17 coins dropped out of the Top 100 over that time frame, though all but AMPL were still in profit. Median returns were 492% Overall Market Cap went 4x from $547 billion to $2.2 trillion It did kinda surprise me that there weren't more coins that lost money over that timeframe, but it does go to show that in a true bull run then even blindly investing in any of the top 100 gives you a 50/50 chance of going 5x and a nearly 100% chance of at least doubling your money. Of course, this is a very specific timeframe in just 1 bull run so is absolutely meaningless going forwards - but I still think it was a worthwhile exercise to at least temper expectations somewhat. It also looks like investing in the top coins should generate solid returns, but won't turn most of us into a millionaire. Data below for anyone interested. ​ https://preview.redd.it/v8f25wp8ie281.png?width=720&format=png&auto=webp&s=5a0acfe86f3ac0bcd0478600512a03a528809255 submitted by /u/Maniacal-Maniac [link] [comments]