Analyzing Five Portfolios from July to December

Hi all! I started an experiment on the 15th of July with five different portfolios on crypto currencies, these portfolios being:

Fundamentals (Bitcoin, Eth only)

My own Custom Portfolio (What I believe would be the best portfolio in july)

Risky Portfolio (No bitcoin allowed!)

DeFi Portfolio (DeFi tokens only)

Shitcoins (shitcoins)

Every portfolio had $1000 to begin with. I did use CMC to track the prices of these cryptocurrencies, mainly out of laziness. It's pretty easy. Here's how I allocated the initial money for every portfolio.

https://preview.redd.it/ffderzk3c9381.png?width=1054&format=png&auto=webp&s=e2d47ae53a2786f2f2c43f061efb72531c39d0a2

https://preview.redd.it/2iwye9z5c9381.png?width=701&format=png&auto=webp&s=e15e7eb5ce342a765619c8394cfe782946e90519

Finally, here are the specific numbers.

raw invested data jul 15

With this stated, my hypothesis was the riskier portfolios would do the best, except shitcoins, which would perform the worst. Let's see what actually happened.

fundamentals

Our top was $2285 on November 8th, nearly a month ago. Eth has outperformed Bitcoin significantly.

custom portfolio

The best performer in this portfolio was Ethereum, Algorand just nearly at 2nd place, despite its own problems with inflation and such. Cardano is currently our worst performer, but it's not a large portion of our portfolio, so whatever. there was a $2200 top in the 9th of November.

risky portfolio (no bitcoin)

A lot of people hate Binance coin, but i didn't care, the price was low in july, and binance had a lot of regulation issues going on, which was a perfect time to gamble on it. Eth is our best performer, next to Binance coin. The worst performer is dogecoin, at 8%.

The risky portfolio had a top of $2119 the 8th of November.

deFi

Owch, Defi has been doing bad. our best performer is Curve DAO, which i think went up a ton due to grayscale or some big institution investing into it, but every other cryptocurrency (except chainlink, arguably uniswap) has struggled during the last few months, when bitcoin has gone up 70%, only one of these cryptos have even been able to match bitcoin. It's useless to invest in anything except bitcoin if it doesn't do better than bitcoin, it's an unnecessary risk.

Defi had a $1770 top in early September.

shitcoins

I made this for fun, excepted nothing of it to be honest. at one point, it hit $3000. a 3x from its initial buy in. honestly, this portfolio doesn't even follow the others, it just goes down a ton until a shitcoin pumps super quickly super intensely, then goes down for a few more months.

Overall, the best cryptocurrency in all of these portfolios has been shib, Curve dao, Eth, Algo, binance coin. The best performing portfolio historically has been the fundamentals portfolio, with only bitcoin and Eth.

What conclusion does this show? Sometimes people say blue chip cryptos aren't profitable. And sure, compared to some alt coin that pumps 500% one week ETH may look bad. But, it's hard to predict which alt coins WILL pump 500%. Of the 20+ cryptos here, arguably only one of them performed insanely well. And it was a shitcoin.

Most cryptocurrencies that pump 500% don't hold those numbers, Eth, bitcoin, they do, they don't pump up insanely fast, but they keep the gains they made (compared to other cryptocurrencies).