For clarification: not landing on 98k, 135k targets is a miss of the floor model by PlanB. The S2F has never missed in 10years and is predicting a 100k BTC by mid-cycle.

As we all know we have been very furious after PlanBs much hyped targets of 98k by nov and 135k by Dec were missed. But not missing those hopium-full targets in this time does not mean we will never get there.

The other model. Called S2F model has never missed its targets in ten year of history. And this model is predicting a 100k BTC by midcycle. Im personally as PlanB 100% sure it won't miss again.

The big question here though is: When exactly is midcycle?

Here it's all about what to we interpretate as a cycle. Here I'm a big supporter of Ben Cowen and the lengthning cycles theory. Meaning that each cycle is getting longer and longer. So we can't always use the same time frame for all cycles. Looking into the history of BTC you can see that, it's true.

So BTC obviously did not hit the targets now. And it's certainly expected that BTC will hit 100k next year. Here depending on what the exact length of this cycle is now. That's completely unpredictable.

To sum up the never failing S2F is predicting 100k by mid cycle. But we don't the fuck know when mid cycle is.